Nov. 3rd, 2004

lapsedmodernist: (Default)
Shut the fuck up, all of you "maturely" talking about how we have to accept the fact that the American public, in their "blessed are the idiots for they will inherit the Empire" lemming effect voted Bush into the office again. Shut the fuck up about how we need to respect the procedures, and it´s no conspiracy theory, Kerry just got outvoted.

1. You are no better than whorish CNN and Fox news who are calling the election as a voter suppression tactic, despite the fact that people ARE STILL VOTING AT THE POLLS in Ohio and that Iowa may be recounted. Even so, CNN is reading emails from people urging Kerry to concede, just "to get it over with." In 2000 we had a president-elect who gave up the fight, even as we hoped against hope for weeks. This year the Democrats are not giving up until every vote is counted. Why the hell are you? The Kerry campaign has the money and the infrastructure to challenge the integrity of this election everywhere. This is not Al Gore as King Arthur at the Yankee Court. Hundreds of thousands of votes have not been counted yet. I for one am not ready to hand over the country to the Apocalyptic neocons for round two. Why the hell are you?

2. You are not mature, you are naive. If you think you are informed from reading your "liberal" mainstream media, and now you are nodding your head and saying, well, Kerry didn't appeal to Middle America, you have been keeping your hand in the sand about the depth of corruption, voter indimidation/suppresion, electronic machine fraud and other wonderful phenomena of the New World Order playing out today. Why were there milions of electronic votes cast for Bush before the polls even opened? What the fuck happened with the exit polls yesterday? The exit polls showed a clear Kerry advantage in Ohio and Florida. Early in the counting yesterday, Bob Woodward expressed reservations about the wide disparity between the exit polls and the claimed vote count. And the gap between exit polls and BBV counts has only increased since then. The 2000 election was stolen. Why is it so hard for you to believe it is happening again, right now?

3. Shut the fuck up about the 2008 election. If this election is stolen again, we are not going to have an election in 2008, at least not in any meaningul way.

4. And all of you who can vote yet didn't vote for Kerry yesterday, or think that voting is unimportant, get the fuck off my friends list.
lapsedmodernist: (Default)
He conceded.

What happened to All Votes Will Be Counted?

Vladimir Vysotksy said it better than I can.

Debris -
Debris remaining from the crown
With no state, no throne around
There is no country left to govern -
All is damned.

And we're -
Chased to holes like hunted game,
Caught like thieves to face the blame,
There's only blood and shame,
To withstand.

For us,
It's impossible to find,
With whom to split, with whom to bind,
Who's with us and whom to mind,
Where to go, where to unwind - we can't tell.
Where's spirit?
Where's honor?
Where's guilt?
Where are friends and where are strangers,
How did we neglect this danger,
Do we wish to cast this land to hell?

And shame -
On all of those who value rest
On those, whose conscience is a pest,
Who cannot choose in all this mess
To kill.

A signal--
And like a bull during a fray,
Like a hawk - after a prey,
Seducing ravens all to stay
For the meal.


I am going away for a while.
lapsedmodernist: (Default)
I want everyone to see this in case they didn't see me post it as a reply to someone:

This election was a fraud, it was stolen just like the 2000 election was stolen.

Look at a site which lists the exit polls before they were "corrected.” Correction is the procedure by which the exit polls are retrofitted to match the figures provided by the vote counting machines. It is easily done by changing the exit poll results, such as the late-night re-assignment of the Nevada exit poll scores which was done without varying the sample size.

Results can be also changed by other methods like screwing with the weighting (weighting in statistics is a coefficient assigned to elements of a frequency distribution in order to represent their relative importance).

So let's check out raw exit polls vs. announced results

Here is one list as an example of raw exit poll data:
http://www.bluelemur.com/index.php?p=386

Then look at the results by state, such as here
http://news.yahoo.com/electionresults


The GOP says that the exit polls are not large enough samples and so there is a large random error in the results. If this were true, then the exit polls would
scatter on either side of the actual result, ESP. if the final result is so close to 50/50.

When we compare exit polls with actual results we see a skew - but ONLY in states which the GOP had declared to be the key states. The skew favors Bush every single time.

The exit poll results are not scattered about the mean, they are all on Kerry's side of the counts as issued by the states (except for a few of states where the final figures are very close to poll figures).

Here are the figures. They list the four contemporaneous and uncorrected exit polls. Kerry is listed first and Bush second in each pair of figures. Published = the figure presented as the vote count as of 10.00 a.m. EST on 11/3/04 (thanks to Democratic Underground)

AZ Poll one 45-55 Final 45-55 Published 44-55
CO Poll one 48-51 2nd 48-50 3rd 46-53 Published 46-53
LA Poll one 42-57 Final 43-56 Published 42-57
MI Poll one 51-48 Published 51-48 Published 51-48
IOWA Poll one 49-49 3rd 50-48 Final 49-49 Published 49-50
NM Poll one 50-48 2nd 50-48 3rd 50-48 Final 50-49 Published 49-50
ME 3rd 55-44 Published 53-45
NV: 3rd 48-49 Published 48-51
AR: 3rd 45-54 Published 45-54
MO Final 46-54 Published 46-53

These tracking polls are as expected and within the margin of error. But in othe states that is not the case. Something is rotten in the State of Denmark. Either the exit polls were wrong or the vote count is wrong:

WI Poll one 52-48 3rd 51-46 Final 52-47 Published 50-49
PA Poll one 60-40 3rd 54-45 Final 53-46 Published 51-49
OH Poll one 52-48 2nd 50-49 3rd 50-49 Final 51-49 Published 49-51
FL Poll one 51-48 2nd 50-49 3rd 50-49 Final 51-49 Published 47-52
MINN Poll one 58-40 3rd 58-40 Final 54-44 Published 51-48
NH Poll one 57-41 3rd 58-41 Published 50-49
NC Poll one 3rd 49-51 Final 48-52 Published 43-56

Taking the figures and measuring the size and direction of the poll to supposed vote count discrepancy, you will see:

OH Bush + 4%
FL Bush + 7%
NH Bush + 15%
NC Bush + 9%

etc.

Do your own research, there is plenty more.

ON EDIT Reposting from here:

...on several swing states, and EVERY STATE that has EVoting but no paper trails has an unexplained advantage for Bush of around +5% when comparing exit polls to actual results.

In EVERY STATE that has paper audit trails on their EVoting, the exit poll results match the actual results reported within the margin of error.

So we have MATCHING RESULTS for exit polls vs. voting with audits

vs.

A 5% unexplained advantage for Bush without audits.

And finally, a word from the Global Monitors;

The global implications of the U.S. election are undeniable, but international monitors at a polling station in southern Florida said Tuesday that voting procedures being used in the extremely close contest fell short in many ways of the best global practices.

The observers said they had less access to polls than in Kazakhstan, that the electronic voting had fewer fail-safes than in Venezuela, that the ballots were not so simple as in the Republic of Georgia and that no other country had such a complex national election system.

"To be honest, monitoring elections in Serbia a few months ago was much simpler," said Konrad Olszewski, an election observer stationed in Miami by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.

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